UM Escobedo vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 3
LAR
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SAG
3 - 0
ESC
47%
27%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
ESC
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 1
NAV
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 1
ESC
30%
25%
46%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 0
CUL
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAM
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
COL
0 - 3
SAM
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 0
TEX
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |