UM Escobedo vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 3
ESC
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 1
TRO
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAY
4 - 2
ESC
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 4
CUL
50%
24%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 2
ESC
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
REV
1 - 1
CAS
25%
26%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 0
REV
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
REV
2 - 1
ALB
40%
27%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
3 - 1
REV
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REV
1 - 1
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |