Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
UM Escobedo vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
ESC
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 2
ESC
12%
21%
67%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ESC
4 - 0
RIB
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
TEX
0 - 1
ESC
23%
24%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ESC
1 - 0
ALB
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
ESC
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
AVI
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
LER
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
AVI
3 - 0
SDA
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
CDH
3 - 0
AVI
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |