UM Escobedo vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 1
ESC
30%
25%
46%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 3
MAR
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ESC
3 - 1
NAV
52%
22%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 1
ESC
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 2
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SDT
0 - 2
NAV
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 2
ALB
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ESC
3 - 1
NAV
52%
22%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
NAV
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 0
SIE
50%
25%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |