UM Escobedo vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CUL
2 - 0
ESC
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 1
LAR
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
RAY
4 - 3
ESC
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 3
TRO
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 4
ESC
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CAY
1 - 0
MER
76%
16%
7%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CAY
1 - 0
TEX
72%
19%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CUL
1 - 3
CAY
34%
27%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CAY
1 - 1
LAR
30%
25%
44%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 0
CAY
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |