UM Escobedo vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 3
ESC
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ESC
3 - 1
NOJ
33%
25%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BUE
0 - 3
ESC
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 1
RIB
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ARE
0 - 2
ESC
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAY
1 - 0
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 1
CAY
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAY
1 - 1
CUL
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAY
26%
25%
50%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAY
0 - 2
LAR
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |