Ultimate vs Sarawak FA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
77.7%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
2.2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
1.2%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ultimate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
UFC
1 - 2
BTF
10%
15%
76%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
3 - 0
UFC
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
UFC
0 - 8
HAR
12%
19%
69%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
UFC
0 - 5
KLR
12%
19%
69%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PUF
2 - 1
UFC
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sarawak FA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 4
KSR
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KLR
6 - 1
SAR
73%
16%
10%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
UMF
5 - 1
SAR
62%
19%
20%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 4
PUF
32%
22%
47%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 3
BTF
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |