Ultimate vs PIB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
67.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ultimate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
IFC
3 - 1
UFC
84%
12%
5%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
UFC
3 - 2
SAR
10%
13%
78%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
UFC
1 - 2
BTF
10%
15%
76%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
3 - 0
UFC
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
UFC
0 - 8
HAR
12%
19%
69%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | -2 |
Matches
PIB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PIB
6 - 1
SAR
70%
16%
14%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PIB
1 - 2
PUF
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
PIB
0 - 2
KLR
28%
25%
48%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PIB
3 - 4
MEL
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
IFC
3 - 0
PIB
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |