AFC Champions League Elite Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Ulsan HD FC vs Yokohama F. Marinos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ULS
4 - 0
GAN
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ULS
3 - 0
SUW
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
DCI
2 - 0
ULS
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
JEO
2 - 2
ULS
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ULS
3 - 3
INC
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
YFM
2 - 2
SHO
65%
20%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
YFM
2 - 0
GAM
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 2
YFM
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
YFM
0 - 0
KAW
45%
24%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NAG
2 - 1
YFM
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |