Ulsan HD FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
9º
36
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 65 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 50 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
12º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
2% | 24.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
4% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
GAN
1 - 1
ULS
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
ULS
3 - 0
INC
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
JEJ
1 - 2
ULS
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
ULS
1 - 1
POH
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
ULS
3 - 0
GWA
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
JEJ
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
BUC
3 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GAN
0 - 4
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
GWA
1 - 0
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
POH
1 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |