Ulsan HD FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
JEO
3 - 1
ULS
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
GWA
1 - 1
ULS
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ULS
3 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
GAN
1 - 1
ULS
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
ULS
3 - 0
INC
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ASY
2 - 1
SUN
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASY
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SUN
2 - 0
MAG
47%
29%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CHI
0 - 3
SUN
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SUN
3 - 0
SFC
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |