Ulsan HD FC vs Gwangju FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
5º
1º
43
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
SUW
1 - 1
ULS
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
POH
2 - 1
ULS
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 0
DAE
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
JEJ
2 - 3
ULS
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ULS
4 - 4
GYE
65%
19%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GAN
2 - 0
GWA
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 1
JEJ
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SUW
1 - 0
GWA
50%
23%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DCI
2 - 1
GWA
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 3
GWA
25%
24%
52%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |