SSV Ulm vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
ULM
16%
23%
62%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
ULM
1 - 0
BAH
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
PIR
0 - 1
ULM
9%
19%
72%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ULM
2 - 0
SMA
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
ULM
1 - 0
AST
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VFR
0 - 2
OFC
15%
21%
64%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
ELV
3 - 1
VFR
78%
15%
8%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
VFR
4 - 0
HOM
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FSV
0 - 0
VFR
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
VFR
1 - 2
STU
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |