SSV Ulm vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
12º
17º
17º
38
1º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 51 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 1
ULM
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ULM
0 - 1
KSC
23%
23%
55%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
STU
1 - 1
ULM
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 0
ULM
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ULM
3 - 1
EBT
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
3 - 0
S04
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
S04
3 - 4
SGF
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 0
S04
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 2
S04
25%
22%
54%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
S04
2 - 2
HER
34%
23%
43%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |