SSV Ulm vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
AST
3 - 3
ULM
18%
22%
61%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ULM
2 - 1
HES
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
HOF
1 - 2
ULM
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ULM
1 - 0
KOB
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
OFC
1 - 2
ULM
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 0
OFC
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ELV
5 - 0
MAI
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
MAI
1 - 2
HOM
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
FSV
1 - 2
MAI
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 4
STU
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |