SSV Ulm vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
VFR
0 - 1
ULM
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ULM
1 - 1
KOB
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ULM
1 - 0
AST
70%
18%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ELV
0 - 2
ULM
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
ULM
1 - 1
SMA
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 1
BAY
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FRE
3 - 1
MAI
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MAI
1 - 1
STE
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 5
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 1
HOF
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |