SSV Ulm vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
ULM
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ULM
0 - 0
PFU
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
EIN
3 - 2
ULM
57%
23%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ULM
1 - 2
HOF
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ULM
0 - 1
ESC
67%
19%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 0
SGS
30%
26%
45%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 1
BAY
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ELV
2 - 5
MAI
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MAI
4 - 4
HES
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
KOB
1 - 0
MAI
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |