SSV Ulm vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
81%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ULM
1 - 2
ELV
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
OFC
2 - 0
ULM
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 2
ULM
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ULM
2 - 0
AUG
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
UNT
0 - 2
ULM
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
HEI
2 - 2
STU
33%
24%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
OSN
1 - 3
HEI
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
HEI
5 - 1
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
LAS
1 - 1
HEI
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
GUR
1 - 4
HEI
5%
12%
83%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |