SSV Ulm vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
ULM
2 - 1
FCN
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
SVS
2 - 4
ULM
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
ULM
2 - 3
REU
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
WAL
5 - 0
ULM
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ULM
2 - 0
RWA
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
FCU
5 - 1
AAA
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
KSC
1 - 1
FCU
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
SGF
0 - 0
FCU
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2001 |
LOV
0 - 0
FCU
72%
17%
12%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
FCU
0 - 1
MSV
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |