Ullern vs Oldenborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
ROA
0 - 0
ULL
16%
17%
67%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
ULL
2 - 0
FLO
81%
12%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
KOL
4 - 5
ULL
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
ULL
3 - 1
OCF
77%
14%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FRI
3 - 0
ULL
45%
21%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Oldenborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HAU
3 - 1
OLD
79%
12%
9%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
OLD
3 - 0
ROA
29%
22%
50%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
FLO
3 - 3
OLD
77%
13%
9%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
OLD
4 - 2
KOL
18%
20%
63%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
OCF
2 - 2
OLD
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |