Ullern vs Mjøndalen IF II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
11º
9º
11
14º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
2 - 3
ULL
22%
20%
58%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
ULL
68%
16%
15%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 1
ASK
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
OPP
4 - 0
ULL
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 2
NOR
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mjøndalen IF II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 3
GOF
55%
19%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
OPP
2 - 0
MJO
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 3
SAR
19%
18%
63%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
FRI
1 - 0
MJO
91%
7%
3%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 5
KFU
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |