Ullern vs Frigg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
65.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
11º
9º
55
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 2
OPP
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 0
ULL
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 1
BAR
29%
24%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 0
ULL
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 2
AIF
86%
9%
4%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FRI
3 - 3
BAR
61%
19%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OPP
2 - 1
FRI
8%
14%
78%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
FRI
4 - 2
SAR
80%
12%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KFU
3 - 3
FRI
18%
19%
62%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FRI
3 - 1
ASK
58%
20%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |