Ullern vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KFU
2 - 1
ULL
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ULL
1 - 0
VAL
30%
23%
48%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
ULL
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ULL
1 - 3
LYN
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
STA
0 - 1
ULL
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 6
FYL
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ULL
3 - 1
FOL
34%
24%
41%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
STB
3 - 0
FOL
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
JER
2 - 2
FOL
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
LEV
50%
23%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |