Ullern vs Bærum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
ULL
2 - 0
ASK
83%
12%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
ULL
10%
18%
73%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ULL
1 - 0
RAU
81%
13%
7%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
ULL
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ULL
2 - 1
STE
24%
20%
56%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Bærum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2012 |
ASK
3 - 2
BAE
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
BAE
0 - 2
RAU
60%
21%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
BAE
1 - 0
NLI
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
BAE
3 - 3
DRA
20%
22%
57%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |