Uljanik vs Cres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
10º
3º
25
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 44 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
92% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 44 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 40 |
5º
|
97.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 38 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 36 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 32 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uljanik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ULJ
1 - 4
NKB
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ULJ
0 - 1
NEH
59%
24%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
NKM
0 - 4
ULJ
17%
20%
64%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ULJ
1 - 0
PAZ
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ULJ
1 - 0
NKK
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NKC
1 - 0
NKM
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VNV
2 - 0
NKC
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NKC
0 - 2
POM
13%
18%
69%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NNH
1 - 1
NKC
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKC
1 - 0
NKC
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |