Uljanik vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
15º
9º
28
5º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 44% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 20.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uljanik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 0
ULJ
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ULJ
2 - 0
JAP
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TRN
3 - 2
ULJ
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ULJ
1 - 2
KAR
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BJE
0 - 0
ULJ
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
JAD
27%
29%
45%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
HRV
4 - 0
MAR
49%
23%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 3
DUG
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SEG
4 - 2
MAR
38%
24%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
MZL
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |