Ulldecona vs Morell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulldecona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
ULD
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ULD
3 - 1
CFR
48%
23%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BAT
0 - 0
ULD
38%
24%
39%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ULD
4 - 0
RBA
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
JCA
1 - 3
ULD
22%
23%
55%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 1
LCA
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 2
MOR
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 0
CDC
27%
24%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UDT
3 - 4
MOR
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
CFA
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |