UCSA vs FK Epitsentr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
8º
7º
53
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UCS
0 - 3
BUK
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
MET
0 - 2
UCS
57%
26%
18%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
UCS
0 - 0
FKA
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FED
4 - 3
UCS
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UCS
1 - 3
MET
26%
22%
53%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Epitsentr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
0 - 1
FED
28%
28%
45%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FED
2 - 1
MET
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
POL
2 - 3
FED
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FED
4 - 3
UCS
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
PFC
1 - 0
FED
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |