UCSA vs Druzhba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
1º
62
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
34.5% | 43.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
65.5% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCZ
0 - 2
UCS
66%
22%
12%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
UCS
3 - 0
MET
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RPH
1 - 1
UCS
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIV
5 - 1
UCS
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FED
1 - 1
UCS
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Druzhba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 1
CHA
32%
26%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 2
FCD
22%
24%
55%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 1
FCL
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
NYV
2 - 1
FCD
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FCD
2 - 3
FNB
9%
15%
76%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |