Újpest FC vs Diósgyőr VTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
4º
2º
0
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
1 | 56 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
3 | 50 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
1 | 48 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 48 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 48 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 48 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 47 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 46 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
1 | 45 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 36 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 26 |
12º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
9% | 6% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
26% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
OSI
0 - 1
UJP
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
UJP
0 - 0
HKR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
UJP
2 - 4
DZG
30%
24%
47%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
UJP
1 - 0
FKK
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
UJP
2 - 2
KOM
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
DIO
1 - 1
FKK
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
LIS
2 - 0
DIO
23%
23%
54%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
RIE
1 - 1
DIO
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
SLP
2 - 0
DIO
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 3
DIO
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |