Ugyen Academy vs Paro United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ugyen Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
TRU
6 - 0
UGY
50%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
UGY
3 - 2
THC
36%
23%
42%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -15 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
UGY
1 - 0
TEN
92%
6%
2%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 2
UGY
27%
22%
51%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
UGY
0 - 3
PAR
49%
22%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Paro United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
PAR
4 - 2
GLP
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
TRU
3 - 2
PAR
81%
11%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 2
HQU
27%
20%
53%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
TEN
0 - 1
PAR
41%
20%
39%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 1
DST
24%
19%
58%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |