Ugeraga vs Deusto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ugeraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
SDU
74%
18%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 1
SDU
57%
23%
21%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SDU
1 - 1
SDI
40%
28%
32%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
APU
2 - 0
SDU
40%
26%
34%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SDU
2 - 2
SNT
37%
28%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
DEU
5 - 2
SDS
41%
26%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DEU
0 - 1
GAT
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CDS
1 - 0
DEU
48%
26%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
DEU
3 - 3
SOD
44%
25%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CDE
0 - 0
DEU
38%
26%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |