Ugeraga vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ugeraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GAL
1 - 0
SDU
36%
29%
35%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SDU
1 - 0
ZET
52%
24%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DEU
1 - 0
SDU
62%
23%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SDU
1 - 1
JUV
24%
27%
49%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SDU
2 - 2
SDB
53%
24%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DER
1 - 0
SDS
50%
25%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GAT
2 - 2
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
CDS
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SOD
1 - 0
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SOD
2 - 0
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |