Ugeraga vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ugeraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
DEU
2 - 1
SDU
57%
24%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SDU
4 - 3
ZET
35%
26%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SOD
1 - 1
SDU
55%
24%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SDU
0 - 0
BFC
21%
24%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CDS
0 - 0
SDU
69%
20%
11%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
DER
0 - 0
ZET
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BFC
2 - 2
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
DER
2 - 0
BER
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
APU
3 - 0
DER
28%
25%
47%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DER
1 - 0
SDB
63%
21%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |