Ugeraga vs Apurtuarte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ugeraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 3
SDU
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BER
1 - 1
SDU
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SDU
2 - 1
BFC
21%
24%
55%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SOD
0 - 2
SDU
51%
24%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SDU
1 - 3
RET
41%
25%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
APU
4 - 0
BER
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BFC
2 - 2
APU
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
APU
1 - 1
SOD
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
RET
1 - 4
APU
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
APU
4 - 2
ORT
63%
21%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |