Uganda vs Djibouti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
UGA
0 - 0
ETH
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
UGA
2 - 2
BFA
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
GHA
2 - 0
UGA
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
UGA
1 - 0
CPV
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
COD
4 - 0
UGA
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
DJI
1 - 2
SOM
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2001 |
TAN
4 - 1
DJI
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
BDI
3 - 1
DJI
58%
20%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
UGA
10 - 1
DJI
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2000 |
UGA
7 - 0
DJI
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |