Uganda vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
KEN
2 - 2
UGA
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1990 |
TAN
1 - 1
UGA
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1990 |
UGA
4 - 1
MUS
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
MWI
1 - 2
UGA
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
UGA
3 - 1
ZAM
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1990 |
SDN
2 - 1
KEN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1983 |
KEN
1 - 0
SDN
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
SDN
2 - 0
ETH
54%
22%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
TAN
0 - 1
SDN
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1983 |
UGA
2 - 1
SDN
60%
20%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |