African Nations Championship 1/16
Global 5-1
Uganda vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 0
UGA
9%
16%
75%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
CPV
0 - 1
UGA
44%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
SEN
0 - 0
UGA
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
UGA
1 - 1
MLI
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 0
UGA
9%
16%
75%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
BDI
3 - 0
SSD
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 0
SOM
68%
19%
14%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 2
SSD
21%
22%
58%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
SSD
6 - 0
DJI
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +2 |