Uganda vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 1
UGA
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
MLI
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
KEN
0 - 0
UGA
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ETH
2 - 1
UGA
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RSA
3 - 2
UGA
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 1
UGA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
RWA
1 - 1
KEN
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
RWA
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
CTA
0 - 5
RWA
9%
17%
75%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
RWA
2 - 0
CTA
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |