Uganda vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UGA
3 - 0
TOG
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TOG
0 - 1
UGA
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SDN
0 - 2
UGA
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
SDN
63%
23%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
UGA
7%
16%
78%
|
71 | 12 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GAB
1 - 0
MOZ
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 0
GAB
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
7%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
13%
18%
69%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
1 - 2
COD
38%
26%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |