Uganda vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
60.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZIM
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
COD
0 - 2
UGA
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
CIV
0 - 1
UGA
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 0
TKM
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
1 - 1
RSA
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
2 - 0
COD
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 0
ZIM
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
3 - 1
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 0
TAN
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |