Uganda vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
2.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
SDN
2 - 0
UGA
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2002 |
ETH
0 - 0
UGA
40%
25%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2001 |
RWA
3 - 2
UGA
30%
25%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
UGA
0 - 2
BDI
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
UGA
0 - 1
TAN
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
ETH
2 - 3
CHA
86%
11%
3%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2002 |
SDN
2 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
7%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
GAB
2 - 0
CHA
84%
13%
4%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
1 - 0
EQG
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1999 |
CGO
0 - 2
CHA
84%
12%
3%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | +3 |