Uganda vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
62.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
SEN
1 - 2
UGA
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
TAN
1 - 0
UGA
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
UGA
1 - 1
GAM
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
CMR
3 - 0
UGA
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
UGA
1 - 0
GUI
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
SWE
4 - 3
ALG
54%
23%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 0
RWA
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 0
RWA
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
ALG
3 - 0
GAM
85%
11%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 0
ALG
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |