Uganda vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
COD
1 - 0
UGA
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 1
UGA
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
UGA
0 - 1
TAN
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 3
CIV
15%
23%
62%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
0 - 1
UGA
76%
16%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
NIG
0 - 1
ALG
12%
25%
63%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ALG
2 - 1
NIG
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 0
SEN
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
ALG
5 - 0
NIG
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 0
CIV
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |