Uganda vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
0 - 2
UGA
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
UGA
0 - 1
RWA
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2007 |
UGA
4 - 2
KEN
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
ERI
3 - 2
UGA
9%
18%
73%
|
70 | 30 | 40 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
RWA
0 - 2
UGA
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
EGY
0 - 0
LBY
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LBY
2 - 1
KSA
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
BHR
2 - 0
LBY
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
COD
1 - 1
LBY
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
LBY
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |