Uganda vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2006 |
UGA
0 - 0
BFA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
LBY
3 - 2
UGA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
UGA
3 - 1
BOT
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
RWA
1 - 1
UGA
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
UGA
2 - 1
ECU
23%
29%
48%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SWZ
3 - 1
LSO
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
LSO
0 - 0
RSA
14%
22%
64%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
LSO
1 - 3
ANG
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LSO
5 - 4
MOZ
27%
23%
49%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
LSO
2 - 2
SWZ
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |