Uganda vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.4%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.3%
2.1%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
UGA
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
UGA
2 - 1
TAN
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
UGA
3 - 0
MUS
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
GHA
1 - 1
UGA
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
UGA
0 - 1
RWA
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 0
SDN
8%
18%
74%
|
21 | 67 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
86%
10%
3%
|
21 | 67 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
ZIM
2 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
21 | 76 | 55 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ERI
1 - 0
SYC
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +5 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
1 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
16 | 77 | 61 | 0 |