Markt Allhau vs Oberwart / Rotenturm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
75.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
14º
13º
74
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
72.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
27.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Markt Allhau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
ALL
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
RIT
5 - 4
ALL
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 1
BAS
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KLI
3 - 0
ALL
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 1
HOR
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Oberwart / Rotenturm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
OBR
6 - 1
RIT
46%
22%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 4
OBR
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
OBR
1 - 1
KLI
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 4
OBR
25%
20%
54%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OBR
2 - 0
82%
11%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |