UFC Maria Alm vs Sittersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 2
UMA
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
UMA
2 - 1
WOL
45%
25%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
SVP
2 - 0
UMA
23%
24%
53%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
UMA
2 - 0
RAP
25%
25%
50%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
VOL
3 - 1
UMA
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sittersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 3
WAC
16%
22%
62%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MIC
3 - 2
SAS
62%
21%
17%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 6
SPI
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FEL
4 - 2
SAS
85%
11%
5%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 4
SVV
17%
21%
62%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |