Segunda Play-Offs Final
Global 4-5
Lleida vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
MER
3 - 2
LLE
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
LLE
4 - 0
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
OSA
0 - 1
LLE
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
LLE
0 - 0
GET
71%
20%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
RAY
1 - 0
LLE
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
SPO
1 - 3
VAD
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1995 |
DEP
0 - 1
SPO
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
OVI
1 - 0
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
SPO
1 - 2
RSO
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1995 |
SPO
0 - 2
DEP
39%
31%
30%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |